Why Saudi Investment Hasn't Turned Newcastle into Championship Contenders
Eddie Howe isn't typically given to histrionics or sweeping media statements. So by his usual demeanor, his media briefing following Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a angry tirade. His side scored first but West Ham took the lead by the interval, as well as hitting the post and having a penalty revoked by VAR, leading Howe to execute a triple change at the half-time.
“The opening period was particularly irritating,” Howe said. “I almost could have taken anyone off and I believe this indicated of our performance level in that moment during the match and it's extremely uncommon for me to feel that way. In fact, I cannot recall having done so during my tenure as manager of the club, so I felt the squad required some shaking up at half-time. That’s why I did what I did.”
Three key players all came off at the interval and the team managed to steady to an extent in the latter period, without ever appearing like they could fight back into the game against an opponent that had won only one of their previous nine league matches. Given the congestion the centre of the table currently is, with just three points dividing third from 11th, and nine points between the upper and lower ranks, a sequence of twelve points from 10 games has not left Newcastle adrift but, similarly, they must not finish the season in thirteenth place.
The Issue of Perception
The challenge to an extent is one of perception. With the Saudi PIF, Newcastle possess the richest owners in the world. The assumption at the time the PIF bought 80% of the team in 2021 was that it would bring a game-changing impact, similar to the former Chelsea owner achieved at Stamford Bridge or Sheikh Mansour had at Manchester City. The difference is that both of those investors assumed control prior to the introduction of financial fair play regulations (while the ongoing allegations against Manchester City relate to if they breached those guidelines once they were in place).
Financial restrictions limit the capacity of owners, no matter how wealthy, to spend money on their teams and therefore probably would have slowed every Saudi attempt to elevate the team to the level of City. But there is no need for the club's expenditure to have been so restrained as it has been; they could have invested further and remained within the limit – or just accepted a fairly minor European penalty since their major issue is primarily with the European than the domestic regulation.
Stadium Spending and PSR Regulations
Additionally, stadium development is excluded from Profit and Sustainability assessments; the simplest way to increase revenue to create additional financial flexibility would be to expand or renovate the stadium. Considering the site of St James’ Park, with listed buildings on two sides, practically that likely implies building an entirely new stadium. There was talk in March of potentially making the nearby relocation to a local park – opposition from local groups could surely have been overcome with a promise to create a replacement green space on the existing ground location – but there has not been no movement on that plan. There has been significant cutbacks from the PIF on a range of projects as it shifts focus on local investments; the attitude to the football club appears entirely in keeping with that change of approach.
Player Sales Saga
The Alexander Isak episode was arose from that tension. A more confident management might have portrayed his transfer as essential to release funds for additional spending; rather there was a vain attempt to retain him. That meant Newcastle began the season amid a feeling of frustration despite the acquisitions of several new players. The start was mixed: a single victory in their initial six fixtures.
Yet it appeared a turning point had been turned. They secured five victories in six matches prior to the weekend, a run that included convincing wins of a Belgian side and a Portuguese club in the Champions League. That’s why the display against West Ham was so surprising. The problem maybe is that the team's style is extremely intense, very high-octane; a minor decrease in energy can have profound consequences. Maybe the strain of domestic, European and cup matches, five fixtures in 15 days, had taken its toll. The German forward featured in all five matches and appeared especially fatigued.
The Nature of Contemporary Football
That’s the reality of today's the sport. Coaches have to be ready to make changes. The manager has been unlucky that Wissa’s injury has meant he is lacking forward choices but, no matter how valid the reasons, Sunday’s performance was unacceptable –especially following scoring first at a stadium ready to criticize its home team.
The Newcastle boss will hope it was just a blip, an off-day when all players is off-colour at once, but if the Magpies are to secure the European competition in the future, not to mention eventually mount an genuine championship bid, they must not be as unreliable as this.